Each week of the NFL survivor pool, you pick one team to win. Pick right and you advance — pick wrong and you're out. The rankings below combine Vegas spread data with rest-of-season team strength to surface the smartest picks, not just the obvious favorites.
The number one goal of any Survivor pool is to survive and move on to next week. It can be easy to get through the early weeks by picking the strongest teams with the largest spreads, but this is ultimately short-sighted.
To excel late into the season, the best strategy early on is to look for teams ranked relatively low over the rest of the season, and identify which of those have best shot of winning this week.
Our method is two-fold:
And then, truly, we have to use our best judgement. Vegas is pretty good at this game, but when you can only pick one team you have to consider: who haven't I picked yet? Do I trust these guys?
Here, you'll find the data you need to make a decision. That decision, of course, is up to you.
The NFL season has ended. This tool will be updated with live Vegas spreads and 2026 season data when the preseason schedule is set — typically mid-August.
While you wait, the draft tools are live and updated daily with real Sleeper data: